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Read on for a full preview ARC DE TRIOMPHE with odds and tips
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Preview from Stan James
Hurricane
Run 5/2
Dubbed the “World’s Best Racehorse”, Hurricane Run won the Arc last year and is
returning to Longchamp to repeat the feat. He is trained in France by Andre
Fabre. On board is Kieren Fallon who will be out to show our Jockey Club at
least why he feels he’s the “World’s Best Jockey”. The horse is justifiably the
favourite for the race, although recently Hurricane Run has shown signs that he
is not the wonder horse anymore. His career stats show that he has ran 11 times,
winning 8 and coming second in 3. What is more revealing is that two of those
seconds have come this year. He got beaten on the nod by Pride in the Grand Prix
de Saint Cloud, and then got beaten a neck by Shirocco three weeks ago in an Arc
prep race at Longchamp. This time Pride had to settle for third albeit only by a
neck as well. Supporters of Hurricane Run will say that the prep race was not a
truly run race and developed into a sprint. Nevertheless though he was beaten
and the jury is out as to whether the old invincibility has deserted him. He
likes a bit of cut in the ground like the other main contenders.
Shirocco 5/2
Shirocco was 4th in last years Arc, finishing three and a half lengths behind
Hurricane Run, but this season he has reversed the placings by beating the Arc
winner by a neck in a prep race three weeks ago. You could argue that the
muddling pace of that race clouded the true form, but he did win the race and
seems to be improving more than his stablemate. Shirocco is also from Andre
Fabre’s yard. Connections stated that the horse should be sharper for that race,
so the omens look good for a repeat. What is impressive about Shirocco is that
he has done nothing wrong since that Arc defeat last year. He went on to win the
Breeders Cup Turf a month later and has won all his races this season well. He
likes soft ground, but it is not essential as he went on to beat Ouija Board in
the Coronation Cup (and Hurricane Run last time) on good ground. It should be
another fascinating duel between the two French titans.
Deep Impact
5/2
Eleven career starts with ten wins and one second, Deep Impact is a horse with a
big reputation. But the reputation does have its flaws because the horse is from
Japan and the Arc has never been won by a horse from outside Europe. You have to
wonder how good those races were and whether he will be able to hack it with
Europe’s finest. But if the money being gambled on the horse in the last few
days is anything to go by then a lot of judges suspect that he will be able to.
He is partnered by his familiar jockey Yutaka Take who has ridden him on all
eleven occasions and the noises coming out of his camp is that the horse is
raring to go and ready to upset the worlds elite.
Rail Link
13/2
Another horse from Andre Fabre’s stable, but this time it is the French trainers
best three year old. He’s won his last four races in some style, the last one
being the important Arc trial, The Prix Niel at Longchamp three weeks ago. He
showed a lot of tenacity in winning this race, kicking on impressively after
being challenged in the final furlong. And this race is an important pointer.
Nine out of the last twelve Arc winners have won this race in the lead up. The
question you have to answer is whether he’s got the class to take on the older
and more experienced horses. There has been decent support in the market but
it’s a tough ask.
Pride 9/1
Another French horse, Pride is a seasoned campaigner at this level and the six
year old can still hack it with the best of them, as he showed when beating
Hurricane Run by a neck this year. The horse has a tendency to start seasonal
campaigns slowly but as the year progresses so does the horse. You cannot rule
this horse out of being in the mix on Sunday. He followed the victory over
Hurricane Run with another impressive effort in their re match in the Prix Foy.
He came third there but was only a neck behind Hurricane Run and a further neck
behind the winner Shirocco. He likes a bit of cut and has a really impressive
turn of foot and is a cracking Each Way bet.
Sixties Icon
11/1
The only British contender, from Jeremy Noseda’s yard, has been supplemented for
this race to the tune of £40,000. It’s a big gamble to make but it shows that
connections have confidence in their colt being able to hold his own in this
company. He hacked up in the St Leger and the manner in which he won the final
Classic of the season, suggests that there is more to come. Just how good he is,
is open to question (he came seventh in The Derby) but they are not shying away
from the challenge. Frankie Dettori will be on board as he’s partnered him in
his last two victories.
Best Name
50/1
One of the two rank outsiders, Best Name would probably only be able to win this
if the pace of the race was virtually non-existent. He certainly displayed a
sensational turn of foot in his last race at Longchamp where he sprouted wings
and came from last to first to beat seven other horses all in the space of the
last furlong. It’s hard to see him featuring though as the Arc is bound to be
run at a blistering pace.
Irish Wells
50/1
Likes to run from the front and should ensure a fast pace. In fact Irish Wells
could be the unofficial pacemaker although the horse has shown some decent form
in his last two outings and shouldn’t be dismissed lightly. He will though need
everything to go right for him if he is to pull off an unlikely victory.
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Posted by: martinwarn on Saturday, September 30, 2006 - 03:31 AM
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